MEDIATION AND MODERATION · METHOD GUIDE

Indirect effects,
interpreted with care.

One-on-one help setting up, testing, probing, and reporting mediation and moderation. You stay the author, and you leave able to explain what the paths do and do not show.

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30 minutes · Bring your output, your plan, or your committee's comments.

WHERE YOU MIGHT BE STUCK

Where mediation and moderation
get stuck.

Most projects stall at one of three points.
Start with the one that fits.

01 / SETTING UP

“I’m not sure how to
set up the model.”

Decide the roles of your variables before you choose software or syntax.

  • Mediator versus moderator roles
  • Single, parallel, and serial mediators
  • Moderated mediation and conditional indirect effects
Set up my model
02 / TESTING

“How do I test and
probe it?”

Test the indirect effect directly and probe interactions in a way you can explain.

  • Bootstrap confidence intervals for indirect effects
  • Simple slopes and Johnson-Neyman regions
  • Centering and coding of predictors
Check my analysis
03 / WRITING IT UP

“I need to describe
it honestly.”

Use causal language that matches your design and report the uncertainty.

  • Causal wording for cross-sectional data
  • Reporting paths, indirect effects, and intervals
  • Nonsignificant paths and unexpected signs
Review my wording

DECISIONS THAT SHAPE YOUR ANALYSIS

Three choices committees look at.

01

Mediation is a causal claim

A mediation model describes a causal chain from predictor to mediator to outcome. Cross-sectional data can be consistent with that chain but cannot establish it. Justify the ordering and confounding assumptions, and word the conclusions to match the design.

02

Test the indirect effect directly

The indirect effect is a product of two paths, and its sampling distribution is usually not symmetric. Intervals that allow for that, such as bootstrap confidence intervals, are generally preferred to relying only on separate significance tests of each path.

03

Probe interactions, don’t just detect them

A significant interaction says the effect varies. Simple slopes and regions of significance show how it varies, at values you can justify.

START ON YOUR OWN

Free guides, tools,
and workflows.

Use these before or after your consultation.

BLOG GUIDE

Hayes PROCESS Model 4 mediation

How to run and report a simple mediation model with bootstrap confidence intervals.

Read the guide
FREE TOOL

Power analysis calculators

Plan your sample size before you collect data, including designs with more than one path.

Plan my sample
ANALYSIS WORKFLOW

Mediation, moderation, and conditional process

Estimate indirect effects, interactions, simple slopes, and moderated mediation.

See the workflow
ANALYSIS CLINIC

My interaction is significant, but the main effects aren’t

Interpret conditional effects without treating nonsignificant main effects as a contradiction.

Read the Case
FREE TOOL

APA 7 results formatter

Format statistics correctly, with italics, spacing, and decimal places handled for you.

Format my results
FREE TOOL

Statistical test chooser

Check which analysis fits your variables and design.

Choose a test

ACADEMIC INTEGRITY

Your analysis is your work,
and it should stay that way.

01

You are the author

Dr. Yel does not write your dissertation or any chapter of it. The decisions, the interpretations, and the prose are yours. His role is to advise, teach, and review.

02

You can explain every number

Nothing is handed over unexplained. We work through each method, assumption, and result until you can defend it on your own.

03

Your program's rules come first

Programs differ in what outside help they allow. Check your policy and let your chair know you're working with a statistical consultant.

Dr. Yel declines work that would misrepresent authorship or data, such as writing chapters, altering or fabricating data, or anything your program's policy prohibits.

A FEW THINGS YOU MIGHT BE WONDERING

Good questions.
Honest answers.

Do I need the PROCESS macro for mediation?

No. PROCESS is a popular tool, but the same models can be estimated in regression or structural equation modeling software with bootstrapping. Use whatever your program or committee expects.

Can I claim mediation with cross-sectional data?

You can test whether the data fit a proposed mediation pattern, but you should not claim the data prove a causal chain. Word your conclusions to match the design and explain the assumptions.

What sample size do I need for mediation?

It depends on the size of the paths you expect and on your method. Simulation-based power analysis is often the most defensible approach, and the free power tools are a good place to start.

What if one of my paths is not significant?

Report it as it is. A nonsignificant path does not automatically rule out an indirect effect, so look at the interval for the indirect effect and discuss the result carefully.

Will you run the analysis for me?

Analyses are run together in live sessions, with you watching or at the keyboard, so you can explain every step. You keep the syntax or code from every session.

How much does mediation and moderation help cost?

The scope depends on your model, your data, and the support you need. The free consultation is the place to discuss deliverables, pricing, and timing before you decide.

BRING THE MODEL THAT’S HOLDING YOU UP

Let’s make your model
ready to defend.

Meet with Dr. Yel for a free 30-minute consultation about your study, data, or committee feedback.

Book a free consultation

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